Northarvest-Final-Revised_01

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CANADA: PULSE AND SPECIAL CROPS OUTLOOK - OCTOBER 17, 2002
December 20, 2002

Production is forecast to increase by 27%, due to an increase in seeded area. Production of white pea, dark and light red kidney, cranberry, black, pink and pinto beans is expected to increase, while production of small red and Great Northern beans decreases. Total supply is expected to increase by only 6% because of lower imports and carry-in stocks. Exports are forecast to be similar to 2001-02 and carry-out stocks are expected to increase, with a stocks-to-use (s/u) ratio of 10%. US production is expected to increase by 47% to 1.20 Mt. Total US and Canadian supply is expected to increase by only 20% to 1.70 Mt, due to lower carry-in stocks. Average prices are expected to be lower than in 2001-02, except for Great Northern beans, for which prices are expected to be higher. The average price, over all classes and grades, is forecast to decrease by about 25% because of increased supply.

CANADA: PULSE AND SPECIAL CROPS SUPPLY AND DISPOSITION
OCTOBER 17, 2002

Grain and Crop Year (a) Harvested Area Yield Production Imports
(b)
Total Supply Exports
(b)
Total Domestic Use Ending Stocks Average Price
(d)
'000 ha t/ha thousand metric tonnes $/t
Dry Beans
1998-1999 96 1.98 189 69 273 193 55 25 655
1999-2000 154 1.91 294 41 360 260 60 40 500
2000-2001 165 1.62 268 40 348 227 71 50 465
2001-2002 164 1.70 279 42 371 275 76 20 725
2002-2003f 215 1.65 355 20 395 275 85 35 515-545

 


 

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Northarvest Bean Growers Association | 50072 East Lake Seven Road | Frazee, MN 56544
Ph: 218-334-6351 | Fax: 218-334-6360 | Email: nhbean@loretel.net